Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 17.315070 19.669110 22.234003 25.237553 28.660361 32.441837 36.939798
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.510157 17.700322 21.436003 26.139073 31.910938 38.775124 47.576081
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.045223 15.665129 20.188131 26.267760 34.248189 44.397687 58.336229
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.716629 13.411215 18.314718 25.321697 35.118186 48.389286 67.837161
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.903749 11.537112 16.641621 24.370692 35.843515 52.348677 78.085329
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.668941 10.266623 15.602220 24.140832 37.563931 58.023958 91.898338
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.768878 9.342319 14.922655 24.338406 39.978252 65.180700 109.394633
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.973129 8.448888 14.148669 24.262383 41.966952 72.054792 127.856328
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.471847 7.955662 13.944237 25.100207 45.648701 82.422068 154.422925
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.939422 7.319726 13.394614 25.245053 48.153107 91.216710 180.016547
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.377516 6.536705 12.456339 24.516137 48.916886 96.973226 201.065561
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.960365 5.957803 11.804227 24.223408 50.482681 104.583617 227.502613
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.693814 5.643517 11.639163 24.936587 54.362592 117.886682 269.564576
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.486870 5.417404 11.618182 25.961883 59.149332 134.152116 322.208179
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.238524 5.060368 11.263293 26.198910 62.257039 147.398426 371.127193
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.944673 4.551398 10.490312 25.340102 62.658050 154.501189 406.815478
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.692456 4.095346 9.761520 24.453906 62.834018 161.154163 443.173634
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.517495 3.794314 9.348189 24.275413 64.790840 172.785893 496.128225
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.386986 3.581007 9.113493 24.516408 67.927832 188.262734 564.153736
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.258154 3.349663 8.794101 24.473679 70.296580 202.204295 631.490580
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.183876 3.250178 8.803026 25.347183 75.491557 225.435130 734.048856
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.088345 3.075838 8.580185 25.516248 78.656156 243.412199 824.787018
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.971506 2.821053 8.089694 24.796995 78.950590 252.662541 888.903157